Alignment Deficit: gauge change (2026-04-14)

Alignment Deficit reading moved Elevated → Keeping pace (3.0× → 1.29×). This is a methodology effect from the v1.2 blend introduction, not a real-world improvement: the structured ratio (1.28×) is now diluted with arXiv flux (1.35×) and frontier-release flux (1.28×) at 20% weights each. Note three known biases all pulling the blend low: (a) structured formula compares capability flow to safety stock, hiding that safety headcount is shrinking 1.1pp/yr while capex grows 64% YoY; (b) frontier-flux undercounts the safety side because Anthropic, Apollo, METR, Epoch, Meta, Mistral, and xAI lack discoverable RSS feeds; (c) arXiv flux applies a 4× discount to incremental capability that is asymmetric with the alignment-side discount. A more honest reading is likely Moderate (~1.8–2.4×). Restoring the safety-feed coverage and symmetrizing the arXiv discount are tracked for v1.2.1; structured-formula rework is tracked for v1.3.